cp.signals • weekly • domestic policy movement

The Huawei ban exposes tensions of China’s dual ambition: as a self-sufficient superpower and a globalist. Doubling down on indigenous innovation as long as the economy stays healthy is a viable option. To favour the globalist path, China would need to transform the Party-state.

cp.positions • audit of shifts across sectors • alternating weeks economy/governance

Xi’s statement to a long-awaited Conference on Dialogue of Asian Civilisations that implications of racial and civilisational superiority were ‘stupid’ was a clear riposte to State Department talk of China as ‘an alien’. Instead of ranking civilisations and claiming credit for China’s development, wrote Xinhua, the US should work with China to seek common ground to ‘crack’ the clash of civilisations myth.

cp.signals • weekly • domestic policy movement

In 2015, China announced an ambitious plan to promote ‘big data’ for its potential to improve governance, economic efficiency and social services. The plan called for a unified government data-sharing platform to be set up by end 2018, but such a centralised data platform is nowhere in sight.

cp.positions • audit of shifts across sectors • alternating weeks economy/governance

After the US Commerce Department added Huawei and 68 affiliates to a list of foreign enterprises that pose national security risks, Ren Zhengfei 任正非 Huawei CEO told Nikkei the company had been preparing for it

cp.signals • weekly • domestic policy movement

Introduced in the early 1980s, China’s family planning policy was put in place as many other areas of life loosened up. After four decades, the one-child policy became a victim of its own success. With the world’s largest population, over three years since second children were allowed on 1 Jan 2016, China’s fertility remains critically low.

cp.positions • audit of shifts across sectors • alternating weeks economy/governance

A forum on financial connectivity was held 25 Apr during the Second Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation (BRF). Top financial policymakers showcased support for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and laid out future priorities.

cp.observer • monthly • complimentary roundup

april: ASF, BRI Forum, renewables

The threat posed by African swine fever (ASF) to CPI, inflation and trade is now clear, as MARA’s own estimates predict pork prices will rise over 70 percent this year to historic highs. Listed companies in the sector have seen massive growth in stock value, but some may not survive the crisis. Despite the ASF outbreak, Q1 economic data painted an upbeat picture with PMI, CPI, and PPI all increasing after months of contraction.

cp.positions • audit of shifts across sectors • alternating weeks economy/governance

President Xi Jinping’s visit to Chongqing and adjacent areas reminded officials that poverty alleviation remains the central leadership’s priority. A Politburo meeting shortly thereafter, together with a Ministry of Justice directive mobilised lawyers to assist in the effort.