The 'China Agricultural Outlook Report (2026–35)', the annual ten-year projection from MARA (Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs), opens on a confident supply story. Grain output reached 715 million tonnes in 2025, the second year above 700 million tonnes, and is forecast to reach 753 million tonnes by 2035. The record harvest has not eased the mood. Capacity is rising. Confidence is not.
food & agriculture
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12 Jun 2026
Japanese anime characters promoted PRC snack brands, buyers queued for photos with the Monkey King, and a child-sized robot clad in a raw meat outfit drew crowds in the meat pavilion. Two patterns ran through it: Meat and agri-food point to supply-chain needs; dairy sits closer to nutrition and premium consumption; snacks, drinks and packaged foods point to consumer pull."
food & agriculture
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10 Jun 2026
Open-source gave the PRC its most striking AI victories. Seven of the world's top ten open-source models are now PRC-built. Now Beijing wants to govern the ecosystem that made that possible. Yet open-source works because it is open: distributed, international, and lightly governed. The architecture Beijing is building pushes in the opposite direction.
governance
R&D
ICT
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04 Jun 2026
By the classic logic of the Smile Curve, the PRC should be shifting away from manufacturing: its service sector reached nearly 60 percent of GDP in 2025 and contributed over 6o percent of growth. The State Council's 21 April plan to expand and upgrade the service sector sets a 2030 target of C¥100 tn for services, and seems to confirm the direction.
economy
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02 Jun 2026
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how far can Beijing cut its food imports?
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what does SIAL 2026 tell us about food imports?
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institutionalising open-source in the PRC
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services move to the factory floor
monitoring
recent commentary
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growth modeltax systemtax sharinghousing priceshousing stockproperty taxland marketsreal estate financingurbanisation...read more04 Jun 2026
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growth modelinvestment fundscapital accountscommercial bankinggoing globalcurrent accounttrade facilitationimportsexports...read more03 Jun 2026
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basic edvocational ed and skills traininglabour supplyunemploymentmigrantschildrenAI...read more02 Jun 2026
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energy transitiongreen techrenewablesgridelectricitypower sector reformtwo highsdual controlcarbon neutralitycarbon marketgreen finance...read more01 Jun 2026
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Xia BinState Council Development Research Centre Finance Research Institute honorary director
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Chen XinghuaNorth China University of Technology Energy Law Research Centre director; China Law Society Energy Law Research Association deputy secretary-general
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