The 'China Agricultural Outlook Report (2026–35)', the annual ten-year projection from MARA (Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs), opens on a confident supply story. Grain output reached 715 million tonnes in 2025, the second year above 700 million tonnes, and is forecast to reach 753 million tonnes by 2035. The record harvest has not eased the mood. Capacity is rising. Confidence is not.
food & agriculture
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12 Jun 2026
Japanese anime characters promoted PRC snack brands, buyers queued for photos with the Monkey King, and a child-sized robot clad in a raw meat outfit drew crowds in the meat pavilion. Two patterns ran through it: Meat and agri-food point to supply-chain needs; dairy sits closer to nutrition and premium consumption; snacks, drinks and packaged foods point to consumer pull."
food & agriculture
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10 Jun 2026
Open-source gave the PRC its most striking AI victories. Seven of the world's top ten open-source models are now PRC-built. Now Beijing wants to govern the ecosystem that made that possible. Yet open-source works because it is open: distributed, international, and lightly governed. The architecture Beijing is building pushes in the opposite direction.
governance
R&D
ICT
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04 Jun 2026
By the classic logic of the Smile Curve, the PRC should be shifting away from manufacturing: its service sector reached nearly 60 percent of GDP in 2025 and contributed over 6o percent of growth. The State Council's 21 April plan to expand and upgrade the service sector sets a 2030 target of C¥100 tn for services, and seems to confirm the direction.
economy
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02 Jun 2026
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how far can Beijing cut its food imports?
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what does SIAL 2026 tell us about food imports?
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institutionalising open-source in the PRC
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services move to the factory floor
monitoring
recent commentary
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read more08 Jun 2026
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growth modelcentral budgetlocal budgetinvestment fundsinclusive financeaffordable housingurbanisationpoverty alleviationsocial insurance...read more08 Jun 2026
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growth modelstrategic and emerging industriesTaiwan/HK/Macauscience and technologyAI...read more08 Jun 2026
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strategic and emerging industriestraditional industryenergy transitionscience and technologytech transfer, R&Dhydrogenrenewablesenergy security...read more08 Jun 2026
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Gai JunyiNanjing Agricultural University National Soybean Improvement Centre director Nanjing Agricultural University, Chinese Academy of Engineering (CAE)
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Cheng GuangyanMinistry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs Institute of Food and Nutrition Development Centre for Animal Food and Nutrition Policy director
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Qin YumingChina Federation of Logistics and Purchasing Cold Chain Logistics Committee secretary general
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