context: This policy, if implemented, will set the tone for renewable power development over the next ten years, and lead to a combined solar and wind installations total higher than 1.2TW. Provinces with low renewable consumption will face immense pressure, as NEA aims to bridge the bridge the gap between different provinces.

The draft ‘2021 renewable power consumption weighted responsibility and 2022-30 projected targets’ from NEA (National Energy Administration) have been circulated on media and industry sites. Against the backdrop of newly updated 2030 non-fossil energy consumption goals, NEA intends to impose tighter provincial renewable power consumption obligations.

The draft stipulates

  • gradually closing the gap between different provinces, with the aim that all provinces should shoulder equal renewable consumption responsibility
  • assigning two sets of provincial targets, one for all renewable sources and another for non-hydro power; both targets to be increased each year or at least not lowered
  • provincial targets for 2021-2030 will be allocated in one go, and later adjusted
  • baseline conditions
    • considering uncertainties over hydro and nuclear power development, consumption, responsibility targets will be drawn up based on the goal of non-fossil energy making up 26 percent (rather than 25 percent) of energy consumption in 2030, and 16.6 percent in 2021
    • primary energy consumption will reach 6 bn tonnes coal equivalent in 2030, and 5.12 bn tonnes in 2021
    • national power consumption will be 11,000 TWh in 2030, and 8,000 TWh in 2021
  • over 40 percent power consumed nationwide should come from renewable sources in 2030, including 25.9 percent from non-hydro sources
  • 2021 provincial targets for
    • all renewable power sources
    • non-hydro power
  • 2022-30 provincial targets for
    • all renewable sources
    • non-hydropower

Total installation of wind and solar power will exceed 1TW in 2025, and about 1.6TW in 2030, based on the NEA’s requirements, Tao Ye 陶冶 National Development and Reform Commission Energy Research Institute vice director. calculates. Green energy certification and trading of surplus renewable power will constitute a major approach for some localities to fulfil their obligations, adds Tao.

The share of non-fossil fuel will grow by 1.04 percent each year from 2022-30, highlights Caixin, higher than 0.8 percent annually from 2016-19. Over 20 percent of power consumed in eight provinces will come from solar and wind, adds Caixin.