for comment on a policy-related story, email us at

China pushes modern farming as tariffs make US crops costlier

China has imposed tariffs on American soybeans, wheat and other crops in retaliation for US tariffs on Chinese goods, making those imported crops more expensive and highlighting the country’s dependence on foreign growers. 'The trade war is definitely adding pressure and adding scrutiny,' said Even Rogers Pay, an agriculture analyst at Beijing-based research firm China Policy. 'Top officials in the [Communist] Party are particularly paying attention to agriculture.'

China wants to stop buying American soybeans entirely

"Sourcing soybeans from a bunch of trade partners is both expensive and inefficient," said Even Pay, a Beijing-based agriculture analyst at research firm China Policy. "Companies are looking for cheaper, alternative sources of protein."

Chinese merchants fear Trump’s trade war is hurting a popular snack: pig feet

'The trade war has begun to hurt,' Wu said. 'No one gains.' Even Rogers Pay, an agriculture analyst at Beijing consulting firm China Policy, said the swelling price of soybeans, another tariff-affected commodity, could also increase expenses for sellers. 'Most of that soy is for pig feed,' she said.

a bright future for China’s dairy market

While traditional suppliers can count on a large and growing dairy market, policymakers have expressed an interest in diversifying import sources. We anticipate rising Chinese investment along the dairy product supply chain globally, particularly in Belt and Road countries, as well as more import approvals.

interview: China-US compromise ‘essential’ for Korea peace

Sixty-five years after the Korean War ended with a ceasefire, efforts are underway to finally reach a peace agreement between the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) and the Republic of Korea (ROK), following a historic summit in April between the two countries' leaders. But how much progress has been made so far and what role can China and the US play? CGTN Digital spoke to Megan Cansfield, geopolitics analyst with China Policy, to get some insight.

China’s two-child policy is having unintended consequences

Helen Gao, a 30-year-old writer who works at China Policy, a think-tank in Beijing, says that having one child has become an ideal in China, just as some Americans might regard a couple with two children and a dog as the perfect-sized unit.

soybeans on front line as trade war erupts

Yet the tariff will also be damaging to China, said Even Pay, a senior agriculture analyst with Beijing-based advisory firm China Policy. 'In the short term, China is likely to look to make up for soy imports from anyone willing to sell, with Brazil, already the world’s largest soybean producer, likely to benefit. But China’s big farms are much more dependent on bulk commodity feeds than many realize. Brazil can’t export enough to meet their needs, and they can’t easily make up the lost feed with scraps from elsewhere.'

How the China-US trade row might pave the way for the soybean Silk Road

And the longer the dispute with Washington goes on, the more these emerging sources will have to gain. 'The trade war with the US is generating really good press for the agricultural investment strategy along the Belt and Road,” said Even Pay, a senior analyst at Beijing-based consultancy China Policy. “[The trade war has] made the case for diversifying import partners really concrete, so policymakers and companies that may have been sceptical before are now seeing a lot of evidence that over-dependence on any single supplier of agricultural products is risky.'

learning from Japan’s ‘lost decade’

In late-2016, China’s international buying spree was paused in the face of a crackdown, while Anbang, one of the country’s largest overseas direct investment (ODI) players, wound up falling under state control earlier this year. Despite what it may look like, Beijing wants its companies to continue investing overseas – as long as they have economic planners to keep them ‘rational’. Erlend Ek and Sophie Hassam from China Policy explain the rules that will guide Chinese investment overseas and force it to conform to national economic priorities and geopolitical strategies.

green shoots in the desert as China creates rice paddy fields outside Dubai

Researchers currently grow the seawater rice in the salty beaches of Qingdao, on the Yellow Sea, but 20 million hectares of Chinese wasteland - an area the size of Great Britain - has been identified for cultivation. Even R. Pay, a senior analyst with Beijing-based consultancy firm China Policy, described the Dubai experiment as 'a significant breakthrough'. However, Ms Pay said there were significant barriers to making the new crop varieties widely available, mainly concerning regulation and funding the development of the plants in poor regions. 'Farmers in areas with highly saline soil or water supply, or that are impacted by rising sea levels, are likely to be among the poorest,' she told The Telegraph. 'Ensuring they have means to access this new variety will be a key step in realising its full potential.' [...] And observers say that poor, developing nations have massive incentives to back Beijing's new 'rice diplomacy'. 'The more China imports food from abroad, the more they have a strategic interest in ensuring their trade partners are food secure as well,' Ms Pay said.

China-US trade war is making American soybean farmers anxious

Regardless of how this trade conflict resolves, analysts said US farmers should prepare to share the China market with other nations. 'At the end of the day it is not in China’s interest to expand agricultural trade with the US exclusively,' Even Rogers Pay of China Policy, a Beijing-based consulting group, said. 'It would leave China more dependent on a single, powerful trade partner for a necessity: food.'