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China’s bumpy ride along the new Silk Road

Benjamin Herscovitch, research manager at Beijing-based China Policy, says that 'as well as sensitising the domestic audience to the ‘new normal’ of 3 per cent to 6 per cent growth, the Communist Party is busy softening the blow of the slowdown' and the 'Silk Road' stimulus program will play a big role. He says this will 'bankroll the sale of Chinese technology and expertise — from Chinese solar plants in Pakistan to high-speed rail in Britain. And the hundreds of billions of dollars the party has at its disposal to fund this is just a fraction of the financial firepower at its disposal'.

what China (did not) to do to contain the drama [Portuguese]

'The performance of stock markets is of little importance in the Chinese economy, which is slowing gradually, but within expectations. At some point, contraction may mean systemic risk for the financial sector, because banks are exposed to some degree. But estimates vary as to what point this is', said Philippa Jones, Charles Horne and David Kelly, directors of consultancy China Policy.

China’s new economic reality

'There’s been a whole lot of positive inducements to try to encourage the growth of services, the growth of small and medium enterprises. But there hasn’t been any real significant cutting away of the state sector and the administrative privileges and special access to finance they have,' said Charles Horne, the economy portfolio manager at Beijing research and advisory firm China Policy. 'It’s been stalled because there’s a lot of vested interests.'

what’s next for China’s anti-corruption drive?

China Policy’s David Kelly says the trial and the outcome looks to many people like a folding up of the anti-corruption campaign. 'The heat is off. The political drama that was escalating of resistance to any more of the higher level purges,' he said. 'The political side of the campaign is ebbing, but on the other hand some more public moves will be made.'

hotelier’s daring letter to Chinese Premier hits home

'The mentality of governing by approvals hasn’t completely shifted,' says Charles Horne, research manager at China Policy, a research and advisory firm. 'But you have a lot of positive inducements, including Wu Hai’s letter.' As he built his hotel business, Mr. Wu grew increasingly frustrated with local officials. He said it was common practice for government individuals to pop by his hotels before big holidays and subtly remind hotel managers that a gift would be appreciated. 'You definitely can turn them down, but they won’t make your life easier,' he said.

lifting its game: a short and glorious history of soccer in China

[Xi Jinping] has done a fairly good job, I think, of demonstrating himself to be a fan. And that's not a new thing. But, to be honest, I see it much more as being politically motivated. As we all know, China is facing a slowing economy. You know, unending tensions with its regional neighbours. And football: if they can get football to get the public onside, that is sort of a low-risk way for them to consolidate public support.

China’s levels of bureaucracy have gotten ‘ridiculous,’ Premier says

Even without corruption, analysts say, a system that has relied for centuries on favors, horse trading and gift giving is now freezing up in the face of the near-evangelical antigraft campaign. 'They’re taking away the levers of power,' said David Kelly, research director with China Policy, a research and advisory firm. 'There’s policy gridlock,' he added.

born red: how Xi Jinping, an unremarkable provincial administrator, became China’s most authoritarian leader since Mao

The risks to China’s economy have rarely been more visible. The workforce is aging more quickly than in other countries (because of the one-child policy), and businesses are borrowing money more rapidly than they are earning it. David Kelly, a co-founder of China Policy, a Beijing-based research and advisory firm, said, 'The turning point in the economy really was about four, five years ago, and now you see the classical problem of the declining productivity of capital. For every dollar you invest, you’re getting far less bang for your buck.'

China will struggle to meet growth target, says premier

The meetings were overshadowed by the runaway success of smog documentary Under the Dome, praised by the environment minister - but then deleted by censors. David Kelly, of research and advisory company China Policy, said the 'evident bungle' reflected a lack of talent at the executive officer level: 'It could not have been produced and shown without some major approvals … But public reaction went beyond what they were prepared for.'

one line in Chinese Premier Li’s speech hints at Beijing’s battle to connect on social media

David Kelly, a research analyst at China Policy, says the use of the word renxing referenced the party's populist push. 'It's based on millions of interactions on the internet as to how it acquires a life of its own,' he said. 'The government is onto a winner with it. It's onto a winner with anti-corruption and it's linked to that. It's about defusing popular hatred and distrust of officials.'

China’s National People’s Congress will leap to President Xi’s command

Beijing-based David Kelly, a research director of China Policy, notes how Xi is increasingly being compared to 18th century Qing emperor Yongzheng, who dispatched kin and counsellors with the same aplomb as Xi when downing ‘tigers’, and faced down Confucian censure, while Xi has served notice that cavilling intellectuals will get short shrift.

China’s president Xi Jinping presents China by the numbers, again

'The initial approach is through anti-corruption,' says David Kelly, a founder of China Policy, a Beijing-based research firm. But Mr Kelly says the limitations of the anti-corruption campaign were beginning to emerge, as while it improved compliance and deterred officials from blatant corruption, it was harder to encourage positive take-up of market principles.